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Red60
99888.4
346723.2
13135.5
Blue68
632840.7
841010.3
870814.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708402040601001201406068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#15
35.50.2
31.130.9
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End7.0
blue by 5.1
40.70.7
43.142.4
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End5.9
Second
3467
#18
23.20.2
24.324.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End2.8
red by 8.3
8708
#21
14.90.7
16.415.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Third
9988
#22
8.40.3
7.77.4
Auto4.5
Teleop2.1
End1.7
blue by 2.0
10.30.7
14.513.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned60%Ensemble oddsEarned