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Red78
5823.8
81112.1
490923.2
Blue70
49252.4
804618.5
31927.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801001207870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#4
23.81.7
22.123.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.1
blue by 3.4
319
#8
27.21.8
20.021.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.8
End0.7
Second
4909
#11
23.21.7
18.420.1
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 4.7
8046
#16
18.51.8
19.321.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End0.2
Third
811
#13
12.11.7
12.013.7
Auto6.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 9.8
4925
#24
2.41.8
-0.61.1
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed