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Red85
23821.0
50112.6
568734.1
Blue85
454625.9
581333.7
192220.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649002040801001201408585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.1
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End1.8
red by 0.4
33.7
Auto15.2
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Second
238
#9
21.0
Auto11.0
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 4.9
4546
#12
25.9
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End0.2
Third
501
#19
12.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 8.3
1922
#23
20.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed