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Red64
76745.9
172918.0
632936.1
Blue54
13328.6
271321.8
237029.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810002040801201401606454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.1
34.935.0
Auto13.3
Teleop20.6
End2.3
red by 6.6
29.52.4
29.927.5
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End0.7
Second
1729
#17
18.00.1
17.217.3
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 10.6
133
#10
28.62.4
32.229.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Third
7674
#20
5.90.1
5.55.6
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End1.1
blue by 15.9
2713
#14
21.82.4
22.820.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed