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Red96
632840.7
490923.2
804618.5
Blue41
13135.5
870814.9
49252.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934801509641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.9
42.343.1
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End5.9
red by 5.1
131
#15
35.50.5
31.631.1
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End7.0
Second
4909
#11
23.20.9
17.518.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 8.3
8708
#21
14.90.5
16.916.4
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Third
8046
#16
18.50.9
18.419.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End0.2
red by 16.1
4925
#24
2.40.5
-0.1-0.6
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed