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Red80
172918.0
31927.2
23821.0
Blue67
490923.2
49252.4
50112.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68270204060801001201408067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#8
27.21.5
21.723.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.8
End0.7
red by 3.9
4909
#11
23.21.5
20.121.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Second
238
#9
21.01.5
18.019.5
Auto11.0
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 8.4
501
#19
12.61.5
8.59.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
1729
#17
18.01.5
17.318.8
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
red by 15.6
4925
#24
2.41.5
1.12.6
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed