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Red73
841010.3
13135.5
271321.8
Blue38
76745.9
81112.1
632840.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687240506080901007338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#15
35.50.5
30.930.4
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End7.0
blue by 5.1
40.71.6
42.440.8
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End5.9
Second
2713
#14
21.80.5
20.419.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
red by 9.7
811
#13
12.11.6
13.712.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
10.30.5
13.813.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End2.0
red by 4.4
7674
#20
5.91.6
5.64.0
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed