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Red55
99888.4
5823.8
454625.9
Blue29
870814.9
804618.5
346723.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6665304050607080905529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#12
25.90.0
24.424.3
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End0.2
red by 2.7
3467
#18
23.22.1
24.122.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End2.8
Second
58
#4
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.1
red by 5.3
8046
#16
18.52.1
21.018.9
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End0.2
Third
9988
#22
8.40.1
7.47.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.1
End1.7
blue by 6.5
8708
#21
14.92.1
15.713.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed