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Red64
172918.0
581333.7
841010.3
Blue70
5823.8
632936.1
23821.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76890501001502006470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.7
36.435.7
Auto15.2
Teleop14.7
End3.9
blue by 2.4
36.11.0
36.835.8
Auto13.3
Teleop20.6
End2.3
Second
1729
#17
18.00.7
17.716.9
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 5.8
58
#4
23.81.0
22.421.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Third
10.30.7
16.215.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 10.7
238
#9
21.01.0
19.118.1
Auto11.0
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed