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Red89
804618.5
454625.9
237029.5
Blue55
31927.2
632840.7
271321.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741090501502008955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.6
28.729.2
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End0.7
blue by 11.2
40.72.7
45.042.3
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End5.9
Second
4546
#12
25.90.6
23.924.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End0.2
blue by 1.2
319
#8
27.22.7
23.220.5
Auto7.8
Teleop18.8
End0.7
Third
8046
#16
18.50.6
17.818.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End0.2
blue by 3.3
2713
#14
21.82.7
25.622.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed