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Red47
192220.9
490923.2
13135.5
Blue81
870814.9
568734.1
81112.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877102040601001201401604781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#15
35.52.0
33.531.6
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End7.0
red by 1.4
34.10.3
37.437.8
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End1.8
Second
4909
#11
23.22.0
19.517.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 8.3
8708
#21
14.90.3
16.616.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Third
1922
#23
20.92.0
23.621.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 8.8
811
#13
12.10.3
12.112.5
Auto6.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed