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Red41
50112.6
172918.0
99888.4
Blue81
632936.1
841010.3
13328.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291030501504181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#17
18.00.2
16.917.2
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 18.1
36.10.9
35.834.9
Auto13.3
Teleop20.6
End2.3
Second
501
#19
12.60.2
8.28.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 16.0
133
#10
28.60.9
33.032.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Third
9988
#22
8.40.4
7.37.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.1
End1.7
blue by 2.0
10.30.9
15.414.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned