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Red71
237029.5
76745.9
5823.8
Blue64
271321.8
23821.0
454625.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60740501001502007164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.7
29.229.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End0.7
red by 3.6
4546
#12
25.90.1
24.524.4
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End0.2
Second
58
#4
23.80.7
21.422.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.1
red by 1.9
2713
#14
21.80.1
22.922.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
Third
7674
#20
5.90.7
4.85.5
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End1.1
blue by 15.1
238
#9
21.00.1
18.118.0
Auto11.0
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed