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Red45
804618.5
76745.9
50112.6
Blue95
568734.1
632840.7
5823.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201180501001502004595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#16
18.51.0
16.317.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End0.2
blue by 22.2
40.70.0
39.839.8
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End5.9
Second
501
#19
12.61.0
9.010.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 21.5
34.10.0
34.334.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End1.8
Third
7674
#20
5.91.0
4.35.3
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End1.1
blue by 17.8
58
#4
23.80.0
21.221.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned