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Red64
23821.0
237029.5
49252.4
Blue153
31927.2
13135.5
632936.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45105015064153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.1
27.828.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End0.7
blue by 6.6
36.12.3
32.935.2
Auto13.3
Teleop20.6
End2.3
Second
238
#9
21.01.1
19.720.8
Auto11.0
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 14.5
131
#15
35.52.3
30.632.9
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End7.0
Third
4925
#24
2.41.1
0.41.5
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 24.8
319
#8
27.22.3
24.626.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned