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Red56
804621.4
454624.7
456431.6
Blue21
16633.1
147414.7
18314.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744402060801001205621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.5
28.728.2
Auto12.6
Teleop15.5
End3.5
blue by 1.5
166
#6
33.11.5
27.526.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
24.70.5
20.419.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 10.0
1474
#13
14.71.5
11.510.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
21.40.5
14.013.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End2.1
red by 17.1
1831
#35
4.31.5
4.63.1
Auto0.3
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed