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Red71
590212.4
870815.7
632416.1
Blue31
135014.5
841019.0
61619.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294402060801007131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.12.2
9.011.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
blue by 2.9
8410
#24
19.00.4
19.819.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Second
15.72.2
10.512.7
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 1.2
1350
#18
14.50.4
10.39.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Third
5902
#22
12.42.2
8.510.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End3.0
red by 3.4
6161
#27
9.10.4
7.57.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed