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Search YouTubeExpected scoresforecast vs result
Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 2.5
Second
red by 7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Earned32%Missed
Ensemble
23%Missed8%Missed
