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Red66
345111.0
16633.1
135014.5
Blue38
476113.1
252311.9
804621.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494402060801001201401606638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
33.10.8
26.026.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End2.9
red by 11.7
21.40.2
13.513.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Second
1350
#18
14.50.8
9.810.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
red by 1.4
4761
#30
13.10.2
15.515.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
3451
#19
11.00.8
7.78.6
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 0.9
2523
#28
11.90.2
11.711.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed