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Red50
870815.7
345111.0
66320.6
Blue46
454624.7
61619.1
90969.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443304050605046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#10
20.60.1
17.017.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 4.0
24.70.4
20.821.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
15.70.1
13.513.6
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 6.6
9096
#34
9.10.4
11.812.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Third
3451
#19
11.00.1
8.68.6
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 1.9
6161
#27
9.10.4
7.17.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed