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Red54
545918.1
17223.1
151211.9
Blue55
68959.9
549419.2
804621.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3645010203040506070805455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#11
23.11.4
13.715.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
red by 1.7
21.40.7
13.314.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Second
5459
#29
18.11.4
14.415.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End1.4
blue by 1.1
5494
#20
19.20.7
17.017.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Third
1512
#23
11.91.4
5.56.9
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.0
red by 1.9
6895
#25
9.90.7
9.29.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed