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Red13
590212.4
135014.5
12477.2
Blue86
234218.9
456431.6
359716.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236604060801001386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#18
14.50.9
10.79.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
blue by 17.1
31.61.7
27.929.6
Auto12.6
Teleop15.5
End3.5
Second
5902
#22
12.40.9
10.19.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End3.0
blue by 6.5
2342
#15
18.91.7
16.718.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End1.4
Third
1247
#26
7.20.9
5.24.3
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
blue by 9.5
3597
#12
16.61.7
10.111.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed