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Red38
18314.3
542225.1
476113.1
Blue61
147414.7
172919.0
50112.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42380102030506070803861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.0
18.018.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End1.3
red by 6.1
1729
#14
19.00.2
16.215.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.0
Second
4761
#30
13.10.0
15.315.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
blue by 1.6
1474
#13
14.70.2
10.810.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
1831
#35
4.30.0
4.14.1
Auto0.3
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 8.6
501
#17
12.90.2
7.67.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned