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Red38
50112.9
234218.9
252311.9
Blue64
68959.9
454624.7
172113.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424902060801003864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#15
18.90.1
18.918.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End1.4
blue by 5.7
24.70.6
21.422.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
501
#17
12.90.1
8.58.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
blue by 1.0
1721
#21
13.90.6
12.312.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Third
2523
#28
11.90.1
11.511.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End1.2
red by 2.0
6895
#25
9.90.6
9.510.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned