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Red63
669011.8
581332.3
590212.4
Blue72
545918.1
345111.0
804621.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4944102030406070806372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.3
27.228.5
Auto14.4
Teleop13.5
End4.4
red by 10.8
21.41.4
16.317.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Second
5902
#22
12.41.3
9.410.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End3.0
blue by 5.7
5459
#29
18.11.4
15.216.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Third
6690
#16
11.81.3
7.28.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End2.1
red by 0.8
3451
#19
11.01.4
8.910.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed