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Red52
549419.2
151211.9
61619.1
Blue21
841019.0
97328.8
18314.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37401020305060705221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5494
#20
19.20.9
17.618.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
red by 0.3
8410
#24
19.01.6
20.418.8
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Second
1512
#23
11.90.9
8.19.0
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.0
red by 3.0
9732
#33
8.81.6
10.69.0
Auto5.2
Teleop3.2
End0.4
Third
6161
#27
9.10.9
8.19.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.2
red by 4.7
1831
#35
4.31.6
4.63.0
Auto0.3
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed