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Red46
12477.2
50112.9
476113.1
Blue48
66320.6
61619.1
17223.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27510204060804648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#30
13.11.1
12.013.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
blue by 10.0
172
#11
23.10.3
16.216.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
Second
501
#17
12.91.1
8.49.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
blue by 7.7
663
#10
20.60.3
18.218.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
1247
#26
7.21.1
6.87.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
blue by 1.9
6161
#27
9.10.3
9.19.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed