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Red37
252311.9
147414.7
345111.0
Blue41
632416.1
68959.9
669011.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413602060803741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#13
14.70.0
13.613.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.8
blue by 1.4
16.10.5
13.514.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Second
2523
#28
11.90.0
11.511.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End1.2
red by 0.1
6690
#16
11.80.5
9.29.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End2.1
Third
3451
#19
11.00.0
11.311.4
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 1.1
6895
#25
9.90.5
10.110.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed