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Red77
804621.4
12477.2
16633.1
Blue58
549419.2
172919.0
172113.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64552040801001207758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
33.10.7
29.530.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End2.9
red by 13.9
5494
#20
19.20.5
18.719.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Second
21.40.7
20.921.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End2.1
red by 2.4
1729
#14
19.00.5
18.619.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.0
Third
1247
#26
7.20.7
6.67.2
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
blue by 6.8
1721
#21
13.90.5
13.514.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed