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Red28
12477.2
234218.9
345111.0
Blue10
76749.9
151211.9
252311.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333310203040502810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#15
18.90.3
17.016.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End1.4
red by 7.1
2523
#28
11.91.3
13.011.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Second
3451
#19
11.00.3
8.07.7
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 0.9
1512
#23
11.91.3
6.65.3
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.0
Third
1247
#26
7.20.3
4.84.5
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
blue by 2.7
7674
#32
9.91.3
9.88.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed