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Red56
172113.9
13337.6
632416.1
Blue35
549419.2
50112.9
66320.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6143020801005635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
37.60.2
32.132.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.2
End7.7
red by 16.9
663
#10
20.60.4
17.817.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Second
16.10.2
8.89.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
blue by 3.1
5494
#20
19.20.4
16.516.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Third
1721
#21
13.90.2
12.312.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 1.0
501
#17
12.90.4
7.06.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed