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Red47
172919.0
68959.9
97328.8
Blue39
61619.1
545918.1
542225.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060801004739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#14
19.01.0
15.716.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.0
blue by 6.1
25.11.5
18.817.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End1.3
Second
6895
#25
9.91.0
8.09.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 8.2
5459
#29
18.11.5
16.515.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Third
9732
#33
8.81.0
8.59.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 0.2
6161
#27
9.11.5
9.07.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned