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Red60
581332.3
476113.1
632416.1
Blue66
549419.2
804621.4
841019.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7067204060801001201406066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.1
32.932.8
Auto14.4
Teleop13.5
End4.4
red by 10.8
21.40.1
21.921.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Second
16.10.1
16.716.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
blue by 3.1
5494
#20
19.20.1
19.719.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Third
4761
#30
13.10.1
13.813.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
blue by 5.8
8410
#24
19.00.1
19.719.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End2.2