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Red31
68959.9
454624.7
172919.0
Blue53
172113.9
870815.7
66320.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62572040801001203153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.5
25.424.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 4.0
663
#10
20.60.0
21.421.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Second
1729
#14
19.00.5
19.619.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 3.3
15.70.0
16.416.4
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
6895
#25
9.90.5
10.710.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 4.0
1721
#21
13.90.0
14.614.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8