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Red44
12476.3
13815.6
13135.5
Blue44
87245.4
50110.6
804617.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683802060801001201404444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#3Sur
35.5
Auto11.7
Teleop18.3
End5.5
red by 17.7
8046
#17
17.8
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Second
138
#22
15.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 5.0
501
#25Sur
10.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Third
1247
#27
6.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.8
End0.8
red by 0.9
8724
#12
5.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed