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Red36
23819.9
870816.6
79072.8
Blue45
192224.9
172920.9
31923.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3686020601001201401603645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#15Sur
19.90.2
18.017.9
Auto9.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 5.0
1922
#2Sur
24.91.8
25.623.8
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End3.7
Second
16.60.2
17.217.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 6.6
319
#23
23.21.8
24.722.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End1.0
Third
7907
#19
2.80.2
3.23.1
Auto1.2
Teleop0.5
End1.1
blue by 18.1
20.91.8
21.419.6
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed