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Red42
13074.3
87245.4
13135.5
Blue69
581336.4
172110.8
870816.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507702040601001201404269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#3
35.50.7
35.234.5
Auto11.7
Teleop18.3
End5.5
blue by 0.9
36.40.1
37.437.4
Auto14.9
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Second
8724
#12
5.40.7
6.05.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End0.2
blue by 11.2
16.60.1
17.017.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Third
1307
#29
4.30.7
6.86.1
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.0
End1.1
blue by 6.5
1721
#16
10.80.1
11.811.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsEarned