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Red78
16628.7
63249.6
172920.9
Blue40
50110.6
107310.4
13815.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6141020801001201407840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
28.71.7
26.327.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End2.8
red by 13.1
138
#22
15.60.6
16.215.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
20.91.7
19.621.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End1.3
red by 10.4
501
#25
10.60.6
12.912.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Third
6324
#13
9.61.7
7.39.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 0.8
1073
#18
10.40.6
10.39.7
Auto6.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned