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Red82
23819.9
192224.9
454623.9
Blue32
49250.6
234213.5
804617.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions772902040601001201401608232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.2
23.825.0
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End3.7
red by 7.1
8046
#17
17.80.0
18.218.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Second
4546
#28
23.91.2
22.523.7
Auto11.3
Teleop12.7
End-0.1
red by 10.4
2342
#21
13.50.0
12.812.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
238
#15
19.91.2
17.919.1
Auto9.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 19.3
4925
#24
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto1.9
Teleop-1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed