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Red22
84217.0
172110.8
81115.3
Blue73
79072.8
346730.4
581336.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30880204060801001201402273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#9
15.30.8
16.115.3
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End1.8
blue by 21.1
36.40.3
37.437.2
Auto14.9
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Second
1721
#16
10.80.8
11.911.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 19.7
30.40.3
31.531.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Third
8421
#14
7.00.8
5.74.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.9
End0.5
red by 4.2
7907
#19
2.80.3
3.12.8
Auto1.2
Teleop0.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned