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Red62
791319.8
581336.4
49250.6
Blue49
31923.2
16628.7
13815.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69870501001506249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.4
38.638.2
Auto14.9
Teleop17.4
End4.1
red by 7.7
166
#4
28.71.9
29.327.4
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End2.8
Second
19.80.4
22.121.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End2.1
blue by 3.4
319
#23
23.21.9
27.926.0
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End1.0
Third
4925
#24
0.60.4
3.83.4
Auto1.9
Teleop-1.9
End0.6
blue by 15.0
138
#22
15.61.9
19.617.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed