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Red41
15711.1
105830.5
54915.4
Blue72
13124.4
81115.2
80238.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29450204060804172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.0
13.914.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.7
End2.0
red by 6.1
131
#6
24.41.8
13.915.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
Second
157
#33
11.11.0
6.97.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 4.1
811
#25
15.21.8
10.512.3
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Third
5491
#35
5.41.0
7.28.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 3.1
8023
#28
8.51.8
14.316.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned