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Red55
872415.3
905610.1
568724.8
Blue27
52655.9
15711.1
9523.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060801005527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.5
17.215.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 1.7
95
#15
23.10.8
18.517.7
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Second
8724
#26
15.31.5
18.316.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 4.2
157
#33
11.10.8
7.97.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
9056
#20
10.11.5
7.76.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 4.3
5265
#34
5.90.8
5.95.1
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed