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Red67
490615.4
632828.0
346727.4
Blue22
54915.4
490924.2
944315.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73290204060801006722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
22.022.5
Auto13.0
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 3.8
4909
#11
24.21.1
15.714.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
27.40.5
24.925.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 12.2
9443
#16
15.31.1
7.56.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Third
4906
#17
15.40.5
13.514.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End2.5
red by 10.0
5491
#35
5.41.1
8.27.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed