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Red35
791315.1
13077.4
5821.9
Blue57
13124.4
872415.3
447316.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2645010203040506070803557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#12
21.90.8
6.77.5
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 2.5
131
#6
24.42.0
11.913.9
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
Second
7913
#27
15.10.8
11.912.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
blue by 1.2
16.32.0
10.612.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
1307
#32
7.40.8
7.07.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End2.0
blue by 7.9
8724
#26
15.32.0
16.218.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed