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Red52
490615.4
192223.5
81115.2
Blue74
632936.8
490517.6
127718.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060805274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.0
14.415.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
blue by 13.3
36.82.8
21.524.2
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
Second
4906
#17
15.41.0
12.513.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End2.5
blue by 3.0
1277
#19
18.42.8
10.913.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Third
811
#25
15.21.0
9.510.5
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 2.5
4905
#13
17.62.8
14.817.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned