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Red60
568724.8
80238.5
105830.5
Blue59
944315.3
632828.0
264823.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383735404550556059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.52.8
11.013.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.7
End2.0
red by 2.5
28.02.8
18.921.7
Auto13.0
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Second
24.82.8
11.914.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 1.1
23.72.8
12.815.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Third
8023
#28
8.52.8
11.414.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 6.8
9443
#16
15.32.8
2.35.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed