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Red68
490615.4
490924.2
264823.7
Blue49
905610.1
404112.4
13124.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572702040801006849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#11
24.20.2
14.714.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 0.2
131
#6
24.41.2
14.715.9
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
Second
23.70.2
18.918.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End2.1
red by 11.3
4041
#14
12.41.2
7.08.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Third
4906
#17
15.40.2
14.013.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End2.5
red by 5.2
9056
#20
10.11.2
6.27.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed