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Red54
944315.3
615315.4
13077.4
Blue44
54915.4
52655.9
632936.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185104060805444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6153
#23
15.43.8
6.19.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 21.4
36.80.2
29.830.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
Second
9443
#16
15.33.8
6.510.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 9.4
5265
#34
5.90.2
5.15.3
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Third
1307
#32
7.43.8
7.311.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End2.0
red by 2.0
5491
#35
5.40.2
7.27.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed