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Red57
81115.2
54915.4
264823.7
Blue61
870811.2
9523.1
490924.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4450304060705761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.8
19.221.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End2.1
blue by 0.5
4909
#11
24.21.5
17.318.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
811
#25
15.21.5
14.716.2
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 8.0
95
#15
23.11.9
17.018.8
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Third
5491
#35
5.41.8
6.68.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 5.9
8708
#21
11.21.9
10.011.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed